Iran, North Korea: Not Learning From History

As Syria and Iraq continue to spiral into Hobbesian tribal conflict we can all be grateful that Israel denied these two cruel states nuclear weapons.

Operation Babylon, was a surprise Israeli air strike carried out on June 7, 1981, which destroyed an Iraqi nuclear reactor under construction 10.5 miles southeast of Baghdad. What’s less well known is that the Iranians had tried, unsuccessfully, to put the Iraq nuclear facility out of commission a year earlier. The Iranians caused some minor damage which was quickly repaired by French technicians. Vive la France!

On September 6, 2007, just after midnight, the Israeli air force surprised the Syrians and the world by bombing a nuclear reactor in the Deir ez-Zor region of Syria. This was code named Operation Orchard.

I don’t believe any rational person regrets these two Israeli air strikes. With nuclear weapons, a local tyrant becomes  world player.

North Korea is in the process of developing a delivery system for their nuclear weapons. They are on track to have a working ICBM which can reach Alaska. North Korea is easily the most evil regime on the face of the earth. Every U.S. President has failed to deter the NORK regime. Every policy has failed. Sanctions will not work because the regime has no problem starving their population and blaming it on the evil Americans.

President Trump will receive no help from  China or Russia. China supports North Korea because they want to avert the collapse of the regime which would bring several million unwanted refugees to their borders. Russia wants to stick it to the U.S. in any way possible. The U.S. is left with three choices: live with a nuclear North Korea, bomb their nuclear facilities, or work to effect regime change. Option number one is bad. Option number two is also bad. Option number three is a long shot. I have no doubt that the U.S. will go for regime change—and probably fail. Hence, North Korea becomes a nuclear power.

Which brings us to Iran.

Obama, the Democrats and I might add, AIPAC, all supported Obama’s capitulation to a nuclear Iran. If Iran sticks to the deal they will have nuclear weapons in 10-15 years. If they don’t stick to the deal—much more likely—they will go nuclear much sooner.

Does anybody really think this is a good idea? Iran already controls Lebanon. They are setting up shop in Yemen, Iraq and Syria. They boast of liquidating Israel in the next few years.

If Jewish history teaches anything it is when your enemy threatens to kill you—believe them.

World War II and the millions of casualties that resulted could have been averted if the Allies had stepped in and fought for Czechoslovakia. But the allies convinced themselves that appeasement was worth the price of a tiny insignificant country. Obviously, they were wrong, and cowardly. Just as we are wrong and cowardly to appease the North Koreans and the Iranians.

History teaches but we refuse to learn.

Human nature never changes.

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  1. Bill Brandt
    Posted July 7, 2017 at 12:36 am | Permalink

    I read that the Czech Army in 1938 was capable of defeating the Germans – but they were stabbed in the back by the British and the French. North Korea – politicians have kicked the can down the road ever since the signing of the armistice in 1953. I think the big impediment to a military strike is the fact that Seoul is just 30 miles or so from the norder.

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    • pkoning
      Posted July 10, 2017 at 6:12 am | Permalink

      A conventional Desert Storm type of military action indeed would be problematic given how close Seoul is to the border. A decapitation strike — take out Kim 3 and his top hangers-on — would likely be far safer. The question there is the politics — do the politicians have the balls to support a decapitation strike? Some seem to harbor the bizarre notion that such a thing is illegal, which is of course nonsense. There was some foolish executive order, but executive orders can be changed at any time. And in any case, a dictator is clearly a military target.

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  2. pkoning
    Posted July 6, 2017 at 1:07 pm | Permalink

    On NK sanctions: in the past decade (ever since the stupidity of George W Bush) only wimpy sanctions (at best) have been used against North Korea. It would be easy to undo W’s mistake, and also easy to go way beyond. A small step to do the first has already been taken: sanction any bank that does business with NK. The right way is to make it a general rule: do business with NK, you’re blacklisted in the USA. You land on the Denied Parties list: no more sales of any USA product or technology to you, no more access to any dollar transfers.
    This would, of course, seriously bother China. Tough. That’s the right consequence for supporting a dictator they could remove overnight if they felt the desire to do so. Any Chinese claims that they can’t control NK are utter nonsense; they can simply “invite” Kim 3 for a visit, then take him away to a locked room and toss the key. End of Kim dynasty, end of problem.
    Iran seems to be harder, but there too it has been argued that a seriously executed policy of regime change has potential. The biggest problem I suspect is that the State Department has a decades-old institutional bias of supporting dictators of every kind.

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  3. Posted July 6, 2017 at 9:18 am | Permalink

    Nothing in your analysis is wrong. 100%.
    However – I am of the opinion that we are missing something.
    “Something” is going to happen that will avert this particular disaster.
    I don’t know what it is but – I suspect it may have to do with the totally impossible, unprecedented, ridiculous, tendentious troublesome terrible Tourette’s Tweeting Trump…

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