ObamaCare for Arabia

iiran_shahab_3_missile

The democrat party would like nothing better than for the media to keep talking about Donald Trump, the Confederate flag, Bruce Caitlyn Jenner, or any other nonsense with which the radical left obsesses in their quest for ideological purity. What they don’t want to talk about is the Obama-Kerry surrender to Iran. Because when they do talk about it, they have to lie extravagantly in order to put lipstick on the pig.

Just as Obama lied about ObamaCare, he and his goose-steppers are lying about their treacherous deal with Iran which insures Iran’s acquisition of nuclear weapons.

In today’s WSJ Bret Stephens writes about the Iran deal’s collapsing rationale.

The Iran deal is supposed to prevent a nuclear-arms race in the Middle East. So what better way to get that ball of hopefulness rolling than by arming our regional allies to the teeth?

“The U.S. is specifically looking at ways to expedite arms transfers to Arab states in the Persian Gulf and is accelerating plans for them to develop an integrated regional ballistic missile defense capability,” the Journal’s Carol Lee and Gordon Lubold reported Monday. The goal, they add, is to prevent the Saudis “from trying to match Tehran’s nuclear capabilities.”

Let’s follow this logic. If the Iran deal is as fail-safe as President Obama claims, why not prove it by giving the Saudis exactly the same nuclear rights that Iran is now to enjoy? Why race to prevent an ally from developing a capability we have just ceded to an enemy? What’s the point of providing the Saudis with defense capabilities they presumably don’t need?

A hypochondriac convinced he has cancer isn’t usually offered a course of chemotherapy. What we have here is ObamaCare for Arabia.

The deal is also supposed to preserve the options of a future U.S. president in the event that Iran should go for a bomb. On this point, the president is explicit. “If, in a worst-case scenario, Iran violates the deal,” he said last week, “the same options that are available to me today will be available to any U.S. president in the future.”

Here the claim is false by the president’s own admission. The promise of the deal is that it is supposed to give the world at least a year’s notice that Iran is seeking a bomb. But once the terms of the deal expire, so does the notice period. “At that point,” Mr. Obama acknowledged to NPR’s Steve Inskeep, “the breakout times would have shrunk almost down to zero.” That’s not true today.

On Thursday, Moscow confirmed that it will proceed with the sale to Iran of its state-of-the-art S-300 surface-to-air missile system, notwithstanding the deal’s supposed five-year arms embargo on Iran and over no objections from the White House. The sale means that a future president ordering airstrikes against Iran would do so against an adversary that can shoot American planes out of the skies. That’s also not true today.

What about “snap back sanctions”? This is the make-believe mechanism whereby the slightest Iranian infraction will swiftly be detected and countered by a majority vote of a special multilateral committee that will instantly and forcefully reapply all the sanctions that were previously lifted.

Because this is how multilateral committees across the ages have always worked. Efficiently and without regard to political or commercial considerations.

But notice something else about the deal: Just as the U.S. can claim the deal is being violated, so too can Iran. If the West gets sanctions snap back, Tehran gets what Mark Dubowitz of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies calls “nuclear snap back.”

In practice, the threat of the latter will inevitably prevent the application of the former. Iranian violations of the deal, especially if they are technical and incremental, will be tolerated for the sake of preserving the deal. Violations will be treated as differences of interpretation as to what the deal requires, or as arcane disputes over technical issues, or as responses to some Western provocation. Pretexts will be contrived to revise the deal to suit new and more expansive Iranian demands. Editorialists will enjoin “all parties” to reason and restraint.

“When enough bureaucratic prestige has been invested in a policy,” Henry Kissinger once wrote, “it is easier to see it fail than to abandon it.” That’s the future of the Iran deal.

Meantime, Iran gets $150 billion in mostly upfront sanctions relief. Susan Rice insists that “for the most part” the money will be spent on “the Iranian people and their economy,” an insight the national security adviser must have from the same people who briefed her on Benghazi and Bowe Bergdahl. But she also admits that some of the money might be spent on Iran’s “bad behavior in the region”—but that’s OK because the nuclear deal “was not designed to prevent them from engaging in bad behavior.”

Let it be entered into the record that the United States government has agreed to release monies that it believes will be used to fund Iran’s terrorist proxies. It has done so on the intriguing rationale that, in order to prevent the Middle East from becoming a very dangerous place in the future, it is necessary to allow it to become a very dangerous place now. To adapt a phrase, the administration believes that it has to destroy a region in order to save it.

Iran will get its money. It will redouble its bad behavior. And sooner or later it will probably get its bomb. The most Congress can do now is to lay a political predicate for the next president to disavow the deal. Good luck.

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7 Comments

  1. mikew
    Posted July 27, 2015 at 10:24 am | Permalink

    Myself and my wife watch Israel news each week on the daystar channel.Each week the situation is getting worse.I can’t believe Obama is still in office and getting away with it.I hope a republican candidate is elected next time.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  2. Esther
    Posted July 24, 2015 at 8:33 am | Permalink

    This may have been covered in an earlier post but Susan Rice admitted some of 150 billion may be used for terrorism. I feel as if this was an act of of utter madness. The world is spinning out of control and our faith is our only refuge.

    On another note. I read a quote, which is not quite relevant but I would like to post.

    If Palestine put down arms there would be peace. If Israel put down arms there would be genocide.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  3. mikew
    Posted July 21, 2015 at 1:38 pm | Permalink

    I am getting fed up with Obama turning a blind eye to Irans hate of America and Israel.He has offered these sanction deals to an Arab country that was openly burning the Israel and American flags two days before.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  4. serene
    Posted July 21, 2015 at 10:05 am | Permalink

    Ah, one man’s conspiracy theory is another man’s simple truth. Hand me my aluminum hat: Maybe he’s not actually a Muslim, but I have no problem believing that Obama is the front man for an anti-American, anti-Israel group whose mission is to take over one country and destroy the other. It baffles me that other people (excuse me, other FOLKS) continue to view him as working for US interests.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

  5. malinate
    Posted July 21, 2015 at 9:26 am | Permalink

    The thing that amazes me to no end is the fact that these people actually think that they can make a deal with the devil and that the devil will honor the agreement. Iran continuously lies, obfuscates, deceives, funds terrorism, murders its own citizens wantonly, denies basic civil rights to its people, and actively advocates the destruction of Israel and America. To think that they will somehow honor the ridiculously impotent requirements of this “agreement” takes a level of naivete heretofore unknown to humankind. I’m not a wacky conspiracy theorist, and I don’t think that Obama is a Muslim, but you wouldn’t know it by the way he acts.

    Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

    • kishke
      Posted July 21, 2015 at 9:57 am | Permalink

      You’re assuming Obama considers Iran “the devil.” On what do you base that assumption?

      Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

      • malinate
        Posted July 27, 2015 at 10:05 am | Permalink

        “Deal with the devil” is a well-known phrase I was using as a figure of speech. I don’t actually think Obama believes they are the devil. In fact, I think he has an unnatural, undeserved high opinion of the regime in Iran. If he did think they were the devil, I don’t think he would be so foolish to negotiate this deal (although I’ve been wrong about the level of his foolishness in the past).
        I, on the other hand, think they are of one mind with the devil.

        Like or Dislike: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0

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